Finance Committee - Recent Developments

Most Recent Developments

 

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  • SYDNEY (Reuters) -Shares slipped in Asia on Monday and oil prices briefly hit five-month highs as investors anxiously waited to see if Iran would retaliate against U.S. attacks on its nuclear sites, with resulting risks to global activity and inflation.

  • Early moves were contained, with the dollar getting only a minor safe-haven bid and no sign of panic selling across markets. Oil prices were up around 2.8%, but off their initial peaks. [O/R]

  • Optimists were hoping Iran might back down now its nuclear ambitions had been curtailed, or even that regime change might bring a less hostile government to power there.

  • Analysts at JPMorgan, however, cautioned that past episodes of regime change in the region typically resulted in oil prices spiking by as much as 76% and averaging a 30% rise over time.

  • Key will be access through the Strait of Hormuz, which is only about 33 km (21 miles) wide at its narrowest point and sees around a quarter of global oil trade and 20% of liquefied natural gas supplies.

  • "Selective disruptions that scare off oil tankers make more sense than closing the Strait of Hormuz given Iran's oil exports would be shut down too," said Vivek Dhar, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

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